Are we in for Another boom for the BJP?

Ever since Modi Sarkar has taken over they have been making news almost everyday and fortunately till now they are in the news for the right reasons. Be it forming SIT for the recovery of black money stashed abroad or the steps taken by power ministry with regards to power situation in UP or the influx of foreign investment that has lifted our stock markets to life time high whatever is happening, is happening in the favour of Modi Sarkaar. With 336 MPs in the Lok Sabha NDA is sure of passing any bill without any road blockers (not to forget they can nominate the two Anglo-Indians too). The situation in Rajya Sabha is a little different where NDA holds only 64 seats out of 250 seats but even this doesn't pose a problem for the NDA because in the event of non-consensus between the two houses a joint session of the two houses is chaired and jointly again NDA has majority as it has 402 (336 Lok Sabha elected MPs, 2 Anglo-Indians & 64 Rajya Sabha MPs) out of 795 seats. The majority is wafer thin but enough to pass any bill by the ruling alliance.

What I am going to talk about is not related to the national level politics. It directly relates to the state politics and thus the title 'Are we in for another boom for the BJP?'. I think going by the popularity and positive sentiment towards team Modi and their effective handling of media relations (Modi has instructed all the ministers to be active on Twitter and Facebook) it is possible that BJP bags more than 20 states in its kitty in years to come. If we see the present graph of BJP we notice that NDA has governments in 8 states out of the total 28 states and the National Capital of Delhi. States governments of Jharkhand and Uttarakhand are not in BJPs rule but are expected to be in BJPs hold due to fragile majority of the ruling Congress in these states. Delhi also presents a fair chance for the BJP since the Congress is routed in the Capital and AAP's image has taken a severe beating since the resignation of the CM after 49 day stint in the government.

So, in the near term scenario we can see BJP's hold in 10 states and the Capital of Delhi. Now, lets come to the states where elections are due either in 2014 or 2015 and these are Maharashtra, Bihar, Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir. The NDA again is expected to make governments in all the 4 states without much difficulty since the ruling parties in all these states face anti-incumbency and people want to test Mr. Modi's claims of decentralisation of powers to the state governments. This decentralisation will be possible only when the NDA will hold a majority of states in its kitty. Without this pre-condition Mr. Modi isn't that naive a politician to give too many powers to the states being ruled by hostile opposition.

Coming to our tally of BJP by 2015 end we arrive at a figure of around 15 states including Delhi and if we add 5 North Eastern states which always back the ruling front in Delhi (Tripura has always been a CP(M) stronghold & Nagaland is already led by NDA), we see that BJP can be holding around 20 states which is around 70% of the total states in India. This is a huge number and particularly in interest of the people of India because center-state disagreement over many issues has also held the growth of the states and the economy as a whole.

Mr. Modi has been elected at the right moment and if stars favour him the majority he has in Lok Sabha will be replicated in the Rajya Sabha and in time to come almost two-third of the states in India will be governed by the NDA. To achieve this level of success the incumbent government should work as promised and lay the sleeping economy on the path to development in the least possible time.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Sunday Mood: Haircut in times of lockdown - Why an expert is required!

Since the lockdown was announced people have often complained of not being able to remember what day of the week it is! Our Sunday Mood article reminds you that another week has passed and it's a Sunday yet again! The past week can be termed as one of the most turbulent for the mutual fund industry with a leading AMC shutting its debt funds virtually trapping Rs. 30,000 crores of investor money. But, our topic of discussion today is not anywhere related to the debt market or the financial haircuts that banks and financial institutions take on their loans! Enough of that discussion has happened in the week that has passed by over phones, conference calls & Zoom conferences. Lockdown has also brought in another type of problem for men which is the inability to get a haircut! With the Home Ministry quashing the hopes on 25th April of letting salons open the Indian men realized that it is still days for them to get their much-awaited haircut. But here was me, not ready to be bo
Read more

The ultimate money making trick

Image
Let's start with a small exercise. Let's list down all our expenses on a monthly basis from January 2020 till July 2020. You may not have a ready record but you can still note down your credit card dues every month. Also, from your bank account statement, you can get a rough idea of inflows and outflows every month. The result should look somewhat as described below. Have you done your charting? Are you surprised? You already knew that you are spending far less than what was your average expenditure during the pre-lockdown phase, but you will realize the quantum of fall only by performing this exercise. In the real-life example presented in the table above, the person was able to curtail expenses by more than 50% during the lockdown. Even post-lockdown the expenses are down around 20% from average despite the fact that impulse spending has increased due to the long halt on spending. A few questions that one may ask oneself based on the exercise are: What is the major portion of
Read more

Book Review: One Life is Not Enough - K. Natwar Singh

Image
Natwar Singh's autobiography is one piece which gives us an account of the history of India back from the times when princely states reigned in the country till the present day democratic set up. A highly successful IFS officer Natwar Singh describes his diplomatic career in a refined form picking up beads from the thread of memory line and presenting all major events in his 31 year old diplomatic career starting from 1953. A good judge of personality Natwar Singh gives a personality account of most of the figures that he talks about in his autobiography using metaphors and words that suit the underlying person the most. His descriptions of literary figures like E.M. Forster, R.K. Narayan, Ahmad Ali, Santha Ram Rao and many others leaves little to imagination with regards to the literary skill of these figures and their close association with Mr. Singh. With regards to political figures Natwar Singh gives a fair picture of each personality whom he encountered during his l
Read more